«上一篇/Previous Article|本期目录/Table of Contents|下一篇/Next Article»

《地球科学与环境学报》[ISSN:1672-6561/CN:61-1423/P]

卷:

第27卷

期数:

2005年第04期

页码:

14-18

栏目:

出版日期:

2005-11-15

文章信息/Info

Title:

Logistic Regression Analysis on Sensitivity of Regional Landslide Factors

作者:

李雪平¹; 唐辉明¹; 周顺平²

1.中国地质大学工程学院,武汉430074;2.中国地质大学信息工程学院,武汉430074

Author(s):

LI Xue-ping¹; TANG Hui-ming¹; ZHOU Shun-ping ²

1. School of Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China; 2. School of In formation Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China

关键词:

滑坡; 因子; 敏感性; Logistic; 地理信息系统

Keywords:

landslide;  factor;  sensitivity;  Logistic;  GIS

分类号:

TP319

DOI:

-

文献标志码:

A

摘要:

应用Logistic回归模型评价区域滑坡因子敏感性。将巫山县新址西区选作研究区,选取地形 地貌、岩性特征、地质构造等因子,以MAPGIS地理信息系统为技术支撑,将全区按10m×10m大小划 分为14450个格网单元,每个格网单元作为一个样本数据,建立Logistic回归模型。对回归模型中取得 的各项参数进行分析,得出坡度为15°～30°、坡高300m以内、坡向南、岩性T2b1和T2b3、顺向坡 2(β>α)和切向坡、距有影响的构造线60m内为研究区滑坡的敏感因素。结果表明采用Logistic回归 方法具有较高可信度,可为滑坡灾害的防治、预测及土地利用服务。

Abstract:

The purpose of this study is to develop sensitivity analysis of regional landslide by Logistic regression model. The west area of Wushan County was chosen as a research area. The Logistic regression model was built that in independent vari- ables were landform, physiognomy, lithological character and geological structure and dependent variable was landslide loca- tion data. The research area was divided into 14 450 cells by 10 m× 10 m based on MAPGIS. It is concluded that the sensi- tivity factors of landslide in research area are gradient(between 15° and 30°), height(below 300 m), orientation of slope (south), strata(T2b1and T2b3), slope direction(consequent slope and tangential slope), distance to structural line affecting the slope(less than 60 m)The result can be used in prevention of hazard, land use planning.

参考文献/References:

[1] 朱良锋, 吴信才, 殷坤龙, 等. 基于信息量模型的中国滑坡灾害 风险区划研究[J] . 地球科学与环境学报 , 2004 ,(26)3:52 56.
[2] 杨中宝 , 彭省临 , 李朝艳. 基于GIS 的人工神经网络矿产预测 系统设计 及 应用[J] . 地球 科 学与 环 境学 报 , 2005 , 27(1): 30 33.
[3] 李亚兰 , 陈志新 , 王佳运. 多级模糊模式识别模型 在地质环境 质量评价中的应用[J] . 地球科学与环 境学报 , 2004 , 26(4): 90 93.
[4] 王济川 , 郭志刚. Logi sti c 回 归模 型 —方法 与应用[M] . 北 京 :高等教育出版社 , 2001.
[5] 何晓群 , 刘文卿. 应用回 归分析[M] . 北京 :中 国人民 大学 出版社 , 2001.
[6] Ohlm acher G regory C , Davi s John C. Using mul tiple logi st ic regres sion and GIS tech nology t o p redict landslide hazard in Northeas t Kansas , USA[J] . Engineerin g Geology , 2003 , 69 (03):331 343.
[7] Appt Jeremy , Skaugset Arne , Pyles M arvin. Di scriminat ing between landslide sit es and adjacent terrain u sing topographic variables[C] / / Geological Society of America , Cordil leran Sect ion , 98th annual meet ing. 2002.
[8] Lee S , Ryu J, Min K, et al. Development and application of landslide susceptibilit y analysis t echniques using geographic information syst em (GIS)[J] . Int ernati onal Geoscience and Remot e Sensing Symposium , 2001 ,1 :319 321.
[9] Row both am David N , Dudycha Dou glas. GIS modelling of sl ope st abi li ty in Phew a Tal wat ershed , Nepal[J] . Geomorphology , 1998 , 26(01):151 170.
[10] 王智济, 殷坤龙, 伍法权. 长江三峡水利枢纽库区巫山县城镇 迁建新址工程地质论证报告[R] . 武汉:中国地质大学 ,1995.

相似文献/References:

[1]谢和平,邓建辉,李碧雄.四川芦山地震灾害调查与灾后重建的相关问题分析[J].地球科学与环境学报,2013,35(02):1.
　XIE He-ping,DENG Jian-hui,LI Bi-xiong.Investigation of Lushan Earthquake Disasters and Analysis of Related Problems During Post-quake Reconstruction in Sichuan[J].Journal of Earth Sciences and Environment,2013,35(04):1.
[2]门玉明,韩冬冬,王海英,等.计算锚索抗滑桩变形及内力的一种新方法[J].地球科学与环境学报,2013,35(01):90.
　MEN Yu-ming,HAN Dong-dong,WANG Hai-ying.New Method for Calculating Deformation and Internal Force of Anchor Anti-slide Pile[J].Journal of Earth Sciences and Environment,2013,35(04):90.
[3]马超,胡凯衡,宋国虎,等.汶川地震灾区帽壳子滑坡形成泥石流的过程和特征[J].地球科学与环境学报,2013,35(04):98.
　MA Chao,HU Kai-heng,SONG Guo-hu,et al.Processes and Characteristics of Debris Flows Induced by Maoqiaozi Landslide in Wenchuan Earthquake Stricken Area[J].Journal of Earth Sciences and Environment,2013,35(04):98.
[4]苏生瑞,张永双,李松,等.汶川地震引发高速远程滑坡运动机理数值模拟研究——以谢家店子滑坡为例[J].地球科学与环境学报,2010,32(03):277.
　SU Sheng-rui,ZHANG Yong-shuang,LI Song,et al.Numerical Analysis on Motion Mechanism of Highspeed and Long Runout Landslide by Wenchuan Earthquake——Taking Xiejiadianzi Landslide as an Example[J].Journal of Earth Sciences and Environment,2010,32(04):277.
[5]邵勇,覃仁辉.预应力锚索框架梁边坡支护数值模拟[J].地球科学与环境学报,2010,32(03):307.
　SHAO Yong,QIN Ren-hui.Numerical Simulation of Slope Supporting for Prestressed Anchor with Frame Beam[J].Journal of Earth Sciences and Environment,2010,32(04):307.
[6]楚敬龙,王金生,滕彦国,等.基于GIS的滑坡灾害危险性区划研究——以重庆市万州区为例[J].地球科学与环境学报,2010,32(04):409.
　CHU Jing-long,WANG Jin-sheng,TENG Yan-guo,et al.Study on Landslide Hazard Zonation Based on GIS——Taking Wanzhou District of Chongqing City as an Example[J].Journal of Earth Sciences and Environment,2010,32(04):409.
[7]罗丽娟,赵法锁,王爱忠.某变质岩滑坡及支护结构变形破坏特征[J].地球科学与环境学报,2008,30(02):177.
　LUO Li-juan,ZHAO Fa-suo,WANG Ai-zhong.Deformation Character of Landslide and Its Supporting Structure in Area of Metamorphic Rocks[J].Journal of Earth Sciences and Environment,2008,30(04):177.
[8]贺汇文,龙建辉,苏生瑞,等.某高速公路滑坡的数值模拟 及后缘坡体稳定性分析[J].地球科学与环境学报,2008,30(02):183.
　HE Hui-wen,LONG Jian-hui,SU Sheng-rui,et al.Numerical Simulation of Expressway Landslide and Its Rear Edge Stability[J].Journal of Earth Sciences and Environment,2008,30(04):183.
[9]张常亮,李同录,胡仁众.滑坡滑动面抗剪强度指标的敏感性分析[J].地球科学与环境学报,2007,29(02):188.
　ZHANG Chang-liang,LI Tong-lu,H U Ren-zhong.Sensibility Analysis of Shearing Strength Parameters of Sliding Surface of Landslide[J].Journal of Earth Sciences and Environment,2007,29(04):188.
[10]龙建辉,李同录,蒋丽君.滑坡监测远程无线数据传输系统研制[J].地球科学与环境学报,2007,29(02):192.
　LONG Jian-hui,LI Tong-lu,JIANG Li-jun.Developing of Long-Distance Wireless Datum Transfer System for Landslide Monitoring[J].Journal of Earth Sciences and Environment,2007,29(04):192.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:

[收稿日期]2004-12-31
[基金项目]国家自然科学基金项目(40072085)
[作者简介]李雪平(1969-),女,重庆垫江人,讲师,从事环境地质、地理信息系统应用研究。

常用功能

更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01