|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]安健吉,员学锋*,苏强俊.中国新质生产力发展水平时空格局、区域差异与演变趋势[J].地球科学与环境学报,2025,47(01):106-127.[doi:10.19814/j.jese.2024.09006]
 AN Jian-ji,YUAN Xue-feng*,SU Qiang-jun.Spatiotemporal Pattern, Regional Differences and Evolutionary Trend of Development Level of New Quality Productivity in China[J].Journal of Earth Sciences and Environment,2025,47(01):106-127.[doi:10.19814/j.jese.2024.09006]
点击复制

中国新质生产力发展水平时空格局、区域差异与演变趋势(PDF)
分享到:

《地球科学与环境学报》[ISSN:1672-6561/CN:61-1423/P]

卷:
第47卷
期数:
2025年第01期
页码:
106-127
栏目:
环境与可持续发展
出版日期:
2025-01-15

文章信息/Info

Title:
Spatiotemporal Pattern, Regional Differences and Evolutionary Trend of Development Level of New Quality Productivity in China
文章编号:
1672-6561(2025)01-0106-22
作者:
安健吉1员学锋12*苏强俊1
(1. 长安大学 土地工程学院,陕西 西安 710054; 2. 陕西省土地整治重点实验室,陕西 西安 710054)
Author(s):
AN Jian-ji1 YUAN Xue-feng12* SU Qiang-jun1
(1. School of Land Engineering, Chang'an University, Xi'an 710054, Shaanxi, China; 2. Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Land Reclamation Engineering, Xi'an 710054, Shaanxi, China)
关键词:
经济地理 新质生产力 时空格局 区域差异 演变趋势 高质量发展 区域协同发展 中国
Keywords:
economic geography new quality productivity spatiotemporal pattern regional difference evolutionary trend high-quality development regional cooperative development China
分类号:
F129.9
DOI:
10.19814/j.jese.2024.09006
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
把握新质生产力的发展水平和时空异质特征,对于推进中国的高质量发展、实现中国式现代化具有重要意义。从新质劳动者、新质劳动对象和新质生产资料3个维度构建指标体系,运用标准差椭圆、空间自相关、Kernel密度估计、Dagum基尼系数分解和Markov链等方法,研究中国新质生产力发展水平的时空格局、区域差异和演变趋势。结果表明:①2012~2022年中国新质生产力发展水平逐年提升,呈现“东高西低、南高北低,整体全面提升”的时空变化特征和显著的空间集聚特征,冷点区域集聚在西北部地区,热点区域集聚在东部地区。②中国不同区域新质生产力发展水平的空间差异性逐渐加剧,东北部与中部、东北部与西部等区域之间的差异尤为突出。③中国新质生产力发展水平的演变过程具有长期性和持续性,存在“路径依赖现象”“马太效应”和显著的“空间溢出效应”,高水平邻域有助于促进新质生产力的发展,低水平邻域则会限制新质生产力的发展。
Abstract:
Studying the development level and spatiotemporal differentiation characteristics of new quality productivity is of great significance for promoting China's high-quality development and realising Chinese modernization. Based on the basic logic and scientific connotation of new quality productivity in China, a evaluation index system was constructed from three dimensions, including new quality laborers, new quality labour objects and new quality means of production. Standard deviational ellipse, spatial autocorrelation analysis, Kernel density estimation, Dagum Gini decomposition and Markov chains were used to analyze the spatio-temporal pattern, regional differences and evolutionary trend of the development level of new quality productivity in China. The results show that ① the development level of new quality productivity in China increases steadily from 2012 to 2022; the development level of new quality productivity in China shows the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of “high in the east and low in the west, high in the south and low in the north, with an overall comprehensive improvement” and significant spatial clustering characteristics, with cold spots clustered in the northwest and hot spots clustered in the east. ② The spatial differences in the development level of new quality productivity in different regions of China have gradually intensified, and the differences between regions such as the northeast and the center, and the northeast and the west are particularly prominent. ③ The evolution of the development level of new quality productivity in China is long-term and persistent, with “path dependence” “Matthew effect” and significant “spatial spillover effect”, with high-level neighbourhoods contributing to the development of new productivity and low-level neighbourhoods restricting the development of new productivity.

参考文献/References:

[1] 任保平,豆渊博.新质生产力:文献综述与研究展望[J].经济与管理评论,2024,40(3):5-16.
REN Bao-ping,DOU Yuan-bo.New-quality Producti-vity:Literature Review and Research Outlook[J].Review of Economy and Management,2024,40(3):5-16.
[2] 陆 铭,李鹏飞,钟辉勇.发展与平衡的新时代:新中国70年的空间政治经济学[J].管理世界,2019,35(10):11-23.
LU Ming,LI Peng-fei,ZHONG Hui-yong.The New Era of Development and Balance:Spatial Political Economics of New China's Regional Economy for 70 Years[J].Journal of Management World,2019,35(10):11-23.
[3] 宁吉喆.中国式现代化的方向路径和重点任务[J].管理世界,2023,39(3):1-19.
NING Ji-zhe.The Direction,Route and Key Tasks of a Chinese Path to Modernization[J].Journal of Mana-gement World,2023,39(3):1-19.
[4] 高培勇,杜 创,刘霞辉,等.高质量发展背景下的现代化经济体系建设:一个逻辑框架[J].经济研究,2019,54(4):4-17.
GAO Pei-yong,DU Chuang,LIU Xia-hui,et al.The Construction of a Modern Economic System in the Context of High-quality Development:A New Framework[J].Economic Research Journal,2019,54(4):4-17.
[5] 刘 伟,陈彦斌.“两个一百年”奋斗目标之间的经济发展:任务、挑战与应对方略[J].中国社会科学,2021(3):86-102.
LIU Wei,CHEN Yan-bin.Economic Development Between the Two Centenary Goals:Tasks,Challenges and Strategies[J].Social Sciences in China,2021(3):86-102.
[6] 贾若祥,王继源,窦红涛.以新质生产力推动区域高质量发展[J].改革,2024(3):38-47.
JIA Ruo-xiang,WANG Ji-yuan,DOU Hong-tao.Promoting High-quality Regional Development by New Quality Productive Forces[J].Reform,2024(3):38-47.
[7] 魏崇辉.新质生产力的基本意涵、历史演进与实践路径[J].理论与改革,2023(6):25-38.
WEI Chong-hui.The Basic Meaning,Historical Evolution and Practical Path of New Quality Productivity[J].Theory and Reform,2023(6):25-38.
[8] 徐 政,郑霖豪,程梦瑶.新质生产力赋能高质量发展的内在逻辑与实践构想[J].当代经济研究,2023(11):51-58.
XU Zheng,ZHENG Lin-hao,CHENG Meng-yao.The Internal Logic and Parctical Concept of New Quality Productivity Empowering High-quality Development[J].Contemporary Economic Research,2023(11):51-58.
[9] 周 文,许凌云.论新质生产力内涵特征与重要着力点[J].改革,2023(10):1-13.
ZHOU Wen,XU Ling-yun.On New Quality Productivity:Connotative Characteristics and Important Focus[J].Reform,2023(10):1-13.
[10] 柳学信,曹成梓,孔晓旭.大国竞争背景下新质生产力形成的理论逻辑与实现路径[J].重庆大学学报(社会科学版),2024,30(1):145-155.
LIU Xue-xin,CAO Cheng-zi,KONG Xiao-xu.Theoretical Logic and Practical Path of Formation of New Quality Productivity in the Context of Great Power Competition[J].Journal of Chongqing University(Social Science Edition),2024,30(1):145-155.
[11] 周 文,何雨晴.新质生产力:中国式现代化的新动能与新路径[J].财经问题研究,2024(4):3-15.
ZHOU Wen,HE Yu-qing.New Quality Productive Forces:New Driving Force and New Path for Chinese Modernization[J].Research on Financial and Economic Issues,2024(4):3-15.
[12] 王静华,刘人境.乡村振兴的新质生产力驱动逻辑及路径[J].深圳大学学报(人文社会科学版),2024,41(2):16-24.
WANG Jing-hua,LIU Ren-jing.The Driving Logic and Path of New Quality Productivity in Rural Revitalization[J].Journal of Shenzhen University(Humanities & Social Sciences),2024,41(2):16-24.
[13] 王 珏,王荣基.新质生产力:指标构建与时空演进[J].西安财经大学学报,2024,37(1):31-47.
WANG Jue,WANG Rong-ji.New Quality Productivity:Index Construction and Spatiotemporal Evolution[J].Journal of Xi'an University of Finance and Economics,2024,37(1):31-47.
[14] LIU S J,XUE L.The Spatio-temporal Heterogeneity of County-level Economic Development and Primary Drivers Across the Loess Plateau,China[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences,2021,31(3):423-436.
[15] 张 伟,李航宇,张 婷.中国制造业产业链韧性测度及其时空分异特征[J].经济地理,2023,43(4):134-143.
ZHANG Wei,LI Hang-yu,ZHANG Ting.Measuring the Resilience of China's Manufacturing Industry Chain and Its Spatial-temporal Differentiation[J].Economic Geography,2023,43(4):134-143.
[16] YU T H,HUANG X,JIA S S,et al.Unveiling the Spatio-temporal Evolution and Key Drivers for Urban Green High-quality Development:A Comparative Analysis of China's Five Major Urban Agglomerations[J].Land,2023,12(11):1962.
[17] 李汝资,黄晓玲,刘耀彬.2010-2020年中国城镇化的时空分异及影响因素[J].地理学报,2023,78(4):777-791.
LI Ru-zi,HUANG Xiao-ling,LIU Yao-bin.Spatio-temporal Differentiation and Influencing Factors of China's Urbanization from 2010 to 2020[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2023,78(4):777-791.
[18] 刘泠岑,孙中孝,吴 锋,等.基于夜间灯光数据的中国县域发展活力与均衡性动态研究[J].地理学报,2023,78(4):811-823.
LIU Ling-cen,SUN Zhong-xiao,WU Feng,et al.Dynamics of Developmental Vitality and Equilibria of Counties in China Based on Nighttime Lights Data[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2023,78(4):811-823.
[19] 李 影.中国城市数字技术创新水平的时空演变特征及趋势预测[J].地理研究,2024,43(3):640-657.
LI Ying.Spatio-temporal Evolution Characteristics and Trend Prediction of Urban Digital Technology Innovation Levels in China[J].Geographical Research,2024,43(3):640-657.
[20] 朱富显,李瑞雪,徐晓莉,等.中国新质生产力指标构建与时空演进[J].工业技术经济,2024,43(3):44-53.
ZHU Fu-xian,LI Rui-xue,XU Xiao-li,et al.Construction and Spatiotemporal Evolution of New Productivity Indicators of China[J].Journal of Industrial Technological and Economics,2024,43(3):44-53.
[21] 黄群慧,盛方富.新质生产力系统:要素特质、结构承载与功能取向[J].改革,2024(2):15-24.
HUANG Qun-hui,SHENG Fang-fu.New Productive Forces System:Factor Characteristics,Structural Be-aring and Functional Orientation[J].Reform,2024(2):15-24.
[22] 任宇新,吴 艳,伍 喆.金融集聚、产学研合作与新质生产力[J].财经理论与实践,2024,45(3):27-34.
REN Yu-xin,WU Yan,WU Zhe.Financial Agglome-ration,Industry University Research Cooperation,and New Quality Productivity[J].The Theory and Practice of Finance and Economics,2024,45(3):27-34.
[23] 卢 江,郭子昂,王煜萍.新质生产力发展水平、区域差异与提升路径[J].重庆大学学报(社会科学版),2024,30(3):1-17.
LU Jiang,GUO Zi-ang,WANG Yu-ping.Levels of Development of New Quality Productivity,Regional Differences and Paths to Enhancement[J].Journal of Chongqing University(Social Science Edition),2024,30(3):1-17.
[24] 员学锋,安健吉,杨 悦,等.不同地形梯度下秦巴山区乡村振兴潜力及发展路径[J].地球科学与环境学报,2024,46(1):1-13.
YUAN Xue-feng,AN Jian-ji,YANG Yue,et al.Potential and Development Paths of Rural Revitalization in Qinling-Daba Mountains,China Under Different Terrain Gradients[J].Journal of Earth Sciences and Environment,2024,46(1):1-13.
[25] 沈中健,曾 坚.闽南三市城镇发展与地表温度的空间关系[J].地理学报,2021,76(3):566-583.
SHEN Zhong-jian,ZENG Jian.Spatial Relationship of Urban Development to Land Surface Temperature in Three Cities of Southern Fujian[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2021,76(3):566-583.
[26] 吕岩威,孙 慧.中国战略性新兴产业技术效率及其影响因素研究[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2014,31(1):128-143.
LYU Yan-wei,SUN Hui.Study on Technical Effici-ency and Influencing Factors of China's Strategic Emerging Industries[J].Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics,2014,31(1):128-143.
[27] 赵 涛,张 智,梁上坤.数字经济、创业活跃度与高质量发展:来自中国城市的经验证据[J].管理世界,2020,36(10):65-76.
ZHAO Tao,ZHANG Zhi,LIANG Shang-kun.Digital Economy,Entrepreneurship,and High-quality Economic Development:Empirical Evidence from Urban China[J].Journal of Management World,2020,36(10):65-76.
[28] 苟爱萍,李皖新,王江波.重庆市绿色空间景观格局与PM2.5浓度时空相关性[J].地球科学与环境学报,2024,46(1):25-37.
GOU Ai-ping,LI Wan-xin,WANG Jiang-bo,et al.Spatiotemporal Correlation Between Green Space Landscape Pattern and PM2.5 Concentration in Chong-qing City,China[J].Journal of Earth Sciences and Environment,2024,46(1):25-37.
[29] 赵午冬,李旭谱,张立伟,等.重大公共卫生安全事件下中国城市居民对绿地类型及生态系统服务需求的时空演变特征研究[J].生态学报,2024,44(10):4157-4169.
ZHAO Wu-dong,LI Xu-pu,ZHANG Li-wei,et al.Spatial and Temporal Evolution of Urban Residents' Demand for Green Space Types and Ecosystem Ser-vices Under Major Public Health Safety Events in China[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2024,44(10):4157-4169.
[30] 李辉丹,史东梅,夏 蕊,等.基于地理探测器的重庆坡耕地时空格局演变特征及驱动机制[J].农业工程学报,2022,38(12):280-290.
LI Hui-dan,SHI Dong-mei,XIA Rui,et al.Evolution Characteristics and Driving Mechanism for the Spatiotemporal Pattern of Sloping Farmland in Chongqing Based on Geodetector[J].Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering,2022,38(12):280-290.
[31] 王鑫静,姜炎鹏,武力超,等.中国县域城投债的时空分布及成因分析[J].地理学报,2024,79(4):949-970.
WANG Xin-jing,JIANG Yan-peng,WU Li-chao,et al.Spatio-temporal Distribution and Causes of County-level Urban Construction and Investment Bonds in China[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2024,79(4):949-970.
[32] 何 昀,王帅尧,谢 迟.中国省域共同富裕水平测度、时空分异与障碍因素[J].经济地理,2024,44(4):12-21.
HE Yun,WANG Shuai-yao,XIE Chi.Level Measurement,Spatio-temporal Variation and Obstacle Factors of Common Prosperity in China at the Provincial Le-vel[J].Economic Geography,2024,44(4):12-21.
[33] 伍国勇,刘金丹,杨丽莎.中国农业碳排放强度动态演进及碳补偿潜力[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2021,31(10):69-78.
WU Guo-yong,LIU Jin-dan,YANG Li-sha.Dynamic Evolution of China's Agricultural Carbon Emission Intensity and Carbon Offset Potential[J].China Popu-lation,Resources and Environment,2021,31(10):69-78.
[34] 冯俊华,王 倩,郑广文.黄河流域科技创新与新型城镇化耦合协调发展测度[J].地球科学与环境学报,2022,44(5):826-838.
FENG Jun-hua,WANG Qian,ZHENG Guang-wen.Calculation on Coupling and Coordinated Development of Scientific-technological Innovation and New Urba-nization in Yellow River Basin,China[J].Journal of Earth Sciences and Environment,2022,44(5):826-838.
[35] 徐 雪,王永瑜.中国乡村振兴水平测度、区域差异分解及动态演进[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2022,39(5):64-83.
XU Xue,WANG Yong-yu.Measurement,Regional Difference and Dynamic Evolution of Rural Revitalization Level in China[J].Journal of Quantitative & Te-chnological Economics,2022,39(5):64-83.
[36] 穆学青,郭向阳,明庆忠,等.黄河流域旅游生态安全的动态演变特征及驱动因素[J].地理学报,2022,77(3):714-735.
MU Xue-qing,GUO Xiang-yang,MING Qing-zhong,et al.Dynamic Evolution Characteristics and Driving Factors of Tourism Ecological Security in the Yellow River Basin[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2022,77(3):714-735.
[37] 吕莹莹,钱者东,王 晔,等.中国市域自然保护区时空格局演变特征[J].生态学报,2024,44(10):4021-4037.
LYU Ying-ying,QIAN Zhe-dong,WANG Ye,et al.City-scale Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics of Nature Reserves in China[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2024,44(10):4021-4037.
[38] 范擎宇,杨 山,刘帅宾.基于区域一体化的长三角地区城市竞合空间演化研究[J].自然资源学报,2024,39(4):929-941.
FAN Qing-yu,YANG Shan,LIU Shuai-bin.Spatial Evolution of Urban Co-opetition in Yangtze River Delta Region Based on Regional Integration[J].Journal of Natural Resources,2024,39(4):929-941.
[39] ZHOU L,ZHOU C H,CHE L,et al.Spatio-temporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of Urban Green Development Efficiency in China[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences,2020,30(5):724-742.
[40] 方创琳,张国友,薛德升.中国城市群高质量发展与科技协同创新共同体建设[J].地理学报,2021,76(12):2898-2908.
FANG Chuang-lin,ZHANG Guo-you,XUE De-sheng.High-quality Development of Urban Agglomerations in China and Construction of Science and Technology Collaborative Innovation Community[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2021,76(12):2898-2908.
[41] 李 琼,董 梁,邓平安,等.2010~2021年中国民生发展水平空间演变及驱动因素[J].地理学报,2023,78(12):3037-3057.
LI Qiong,DONG Liang,DENG Ping-an,et al.Spatial Evolution and Driving Factors for the People's Livelihood Development Level in China,2010-2021[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2023,78(12):3037-3057.
[42] 刘程军,陈亦婷,陈秋驹,等.中国双循环协调发展水平演化及其驱动机制[J].经济地理,2022,42(11):1-8.
LIU Cheng-jun,CHEN Yi-ting,CHEN Qiu-ju,et al.Evolution Characteristics and Driving Mechanism of China's Dual Circulation Coordinated Development[J].Economic Geography,2022,42(11):1-8.
[43] 徐孟志,李继霞,刘腾飞,等.中国环境治理绩效的区域差异、动态演进及收敛性——基于流域视角的比较分析[J].经济地理,2023,43(10):1-12.
XU Meng-zhi,LI Ji-xia,LIU Teng-fei,et al.Difference Evolution and Convergence of Environmental Governance Performance in Three Major River Basins of China[J].Economic Geography,2023,43(10):1-12.
[44] 邓宗兵,肖沁霖,王 炬,等.中国数字经济与绿色发展耦合协调的时空特征及驱动机制[J].地理学报,2024,79(4):971-990.
DENG Zong-bing,XIAO Qin-lin,WANG Ju,et al.Spatio-temporal Characteristics and Driving Mechanism of the Coupling Coordination Between Digital Economy and Green Development in China[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2024,79(4):971-990.
[45] 胡森林,焦世泰,张晓奇.中国城市旅游发展的时空演化及影响因素:基于动态空间马尔科夫链模型的的分析[J].自然资源学报,2021,36(4):854-865.
HU Sen-lin,JIAO Shi-tai,ZHANG Xiao-qi.Spatio-temporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of China's Tourism Development:Based on the Ono-static Spatial Markov Chain Model[J].Journal of Natural Resources,2021,36(4):854-865.
[46] 王少剑,高 爽,黄永源,等.基于超效率SBM模型的中国城市碳排放绩效时空演变格局及预测[J].地理学报,2020,75(6):1316-1330.
WANG Shao-jian,GAO Shuang,HUANG Yong-yuan,et al.Spatio-temporal Evolution and Trend Prediction of Urban Carbon Emission Performance in China Ba-sed on Super-efficiency SBM Model[J].Acta Geogra-phica Sinica,2020,75(6):1316-1330.
[47] 王兆峰,谢佳亮.中国文化和旅游融合发展效率时空动态演化及其驱动机制[J].旅游学刊,2024,39(1):34-51.
WANG Zhao-feng,XIE Jia-liang.Spatiotemporal Dynamic Evolution of the Cultural Tourism Integration Development Efficiency and Its Driving Mechanism in China[J].Tourism Tribune,2024,39(1):34-51.
[48] 王少剑,黄永源.中国城市碳排放强度的空间溢出效应及驱动因素[J].地理学报,2019,74(6):1131-1148.
WANG Shao-jian,HUANG Yong-yuan.Spatial Spillover Effect and Driving Forces of Carbon Emission Intensity at City Level in China[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2019,74(6):1131-1148.
[49] 叶 胥,龙燕妮,毛中根.多层级消费城市的空间格局及驱动因素:以长三角地区41个城市为例[J].经济地理,2022,42(5):75-85.
YE Xu,LONG Yan-ni,MAO Zhong-gen.Spatial Pattern and Driving Factors of Multi-level Consumer Ci-ties:A Case Study of 41 Cities in the Yangtze River Delta[J].Economic Geography,2022,42(5):75-85.
[50] 李裕瑞,潘 玮,王 婧,等.中国地级区域高质量发展格局与影响因素[J].生态学报,2022,42(6):2306-2320.
LI Yu-rui,PAN Wei,WANG Jing,et al.Spatial Pattern and Influencing Factors of High-quality Development of China at the Prefecture Level[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2022,42(6):2306-2320.
[51] 马 荣.新质生产力视角下新型数字基础设施建设对经济高质量发展的影响研究[J].西北大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2024,54(3):48-61.
MA Rong.Research on the Impact of New Digital Infrastructure Construction on High-quality Economic Development from the Perspective of New Quality Productive Forces[J].Journal of Northwest Univer-sity(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition),2024,54(3):48-61.
[52] 邹 璠,周 力.均衡视角下东西部协作与县域经济高质量发展:以脱贫攻坚时期结对帮扶为例[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2023,23(6):77-90.
ZOU Fan,ZHOU Li.The Role of East and West Cooperation in Promoting County Economy's High-qua-lity Development from the Perspective of Balance:A Case Study of Pairing Assistance During the Poverty Alleviation Period[J].Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition),2023,23(6):77-90.

相似文献/References:

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2024-09-04; 修回日期:2024-09-23
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(42371210); 长安大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(300102354204); 陕西省创新能力支撑计划创新团队项目(2024RS-CXTD-55)
*通信作者:员学锋(1977-),男,陕西延安人,长安大学教授,博士研究生导师,工学博士,博士后,E-mail:zyxfyun@chd.edu.cn。
更新日期/Last Update: 2025-01-20