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《地球科学与环境学报》[ISSN:1672-6561/CN:61-1423/P]

卷:

第45卷

期数:

2023年第04期

页码:

857-868

栏目:

环境与可持续发展专刊

出版日期:

2023-07-15

文章信息/Info

Title:

Calculation on Green Development Level of Urumqi in Xinjiang, China Based on DPSIR-TOPSIS Model and Its Influencing Factors

文章编号:

1672-6561(2023)04-0857-12

作者:

刘珊珊; 吴文婕^*; 王志强

(新疆农业大学 公共管理学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830052)

Author(s):

LIU Shan-shan;  WU Wen-jie^*;  WANG Zhi-qiang

(School of Public Administration, Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052, Xinjiang, China)

关键词:

绿色发展;  绿色转型;  DPSIR-TOPSIS模型;  障碍度模型;  测度;  影响因素;  绿洲城市;  新疆

Keywords:

green development;  green transformation;  DPSIR-TOPSIS model;  obstacle model;  calculation;  influence factor;  oasis city;  Xinjiang

分类号:

X24

DOI:

-

文献标志码:

A

摘要:

城市绿色发展是实现高质量发展的内在要求。科学评价城市绿色发展水平、准确识别绿色发展影响因素是促进城市绿色转型与“资源-环境-经济”协调发展的关键性命题。从社会经济发展、资源禀赋与消耗、环境压力与治理、公众生活与社会状态、技术创新与政策等方面综合构建城市绿色发展水平测度指标体系,结合DPSIR-TOPSIS模型与障碍度模型分析测算乌鲁木齐市2007～2021年绿色发展水平动态变化,识别影响城市绿色发展的限制性因素。结果表明:①乌鲁木齐市2007～2021年绿色发展状况不断改善,发展水平呈显著上升态势,绿色发展已见成效; ②城市绿色发展水平的驱动力、状态、影响、响应指数均呈上升趋势,增幅差异显著,压力指数则呈小幅下降趋势; 绿色发展政策措施响应积极,但资源环境压力制约仍然存在; ③2007～2013年影响乌鲁木齐市绿色发展的主要因素为人均城市道路面积、恩格尔系数、城镇居民可支配收入、第三产业占GDP的比重,2014～2021年主要因素为GDP增长率、单位GDP电耗、人口自然增长率、全年供水总量。综上所述,针对乌鲁木齐市“资源富集、产业聚集、生态脆弱”的特点,建议加快绿色低碳转型、推动绿色技术创新、倡导绿色消费、实时调整绿色发展思路等。

Abstract:

Urban green development is the inherent requirement for achieving high-quality development. Scientific evaluation of urban green development level and accurate identification of influencing factors of green development are key scientific issue to promote urban green economy transformation and the coordinated development of “resource-environment-economy”. The urban green development level measurement index system was comprehensively constructed from the aspects of social and economic development, resource endowment and consumption, environmental pressure and governance, public life and social status, technological innovation and policy, etc.; and then the DPSIR-TOPSIS model and obstacle model were combined to analyze the dynamic changes of green development levels of Urumqi in Xinjiang from 2007 to 2021, and the restricted factors that affect the green development were identified. The results show that ① the green development status of Urumqi has continued to improve from 2007 to 2021, its levels keep on significantly rising and green development gets some effective achievements. ② The driving force, state, impact and response indexes of green development are on the rise, and the difference in growth rates seems significant, while the pressure index takes on a slight decline; green development policies and measures have responded positively, but the pressure on resources and environment still exists. ③ The main factors affecting green development of Urumqi are not the same during different periods. From 2007 to 2013, the urban road area, Engel coefficient, the disposable income of urban residents, and the proportion of tertiary industries are the main factors; but from 2014 to 2021, GDP growth rate, unit GDP power consumption, natural population growth rate, and total annual water supply factors are the main factors. In summary, taking consideration of the characteristics of “resources rich, industrial agglomeration, and ecological fragility” in Urumqi, some suggestions such as accelerating green low-carbon transformation, promoting green technology innovation, advocating green consumption, and real-time adjustment of green development ideas are put forward.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:

收稿日期:2022-12-13; 修回日期:2023-04-01投稿网址:http:∥jese.chd.edu.cn/
基金项目:新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金项目(2021D01B54); 国家自然科学基金项目(72164035)
作者简介:刘珊珊(1997-),女,内蒙古赤峰人,管理学硕士研究生,E-mail:2178146309@qq.com。
*通讯作者:吴文婕(1986-),女,新疆乌鲁木齐人,副教授,理学博士,E-mail:15294210239@126.com。

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更新日期/Last Update: 2023-06-20