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《地球科学与环境学报》[ISSN:1672-6561/CN:61-1423/P]

卷:

第46卷

期数:

2024年第04期

页码:

470-485

栏目:

环境与可持续发展

出版日期:

2024-07-15

文章信息/Info

Title:

Evaluation and Dynamic Mechanism of Green Transformation Development inMountainous Counties of Zhejiang, China

文章编号:

1672-6561(2024)04-0470-16

作者:

翁异静^1*; 杨 月¹; 文雁兵²; 杜 磊³

(1. 浙江科技大学 经济与管理学院,浙江 杭州 310023; 2. 嘉兴大学 经济学院,浙江 嘉兴 314001; 3. 浙江中医药大学 发展规划处,浙江 杭州 310053)

Author(s):

WENG Yi-jing^1*;  YANG Yue¹;  WEN Yan-bing²;  DU Lei³

(1. School of Economics and Management, Zhejiang University of Science and Technology, Hangzhou 310023, Zhejiang,China; 2. School of Economics, Jiaxing University, Jiaxing 314001, Zhejiang, China; 3. Development Planning Department,Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou 310053, Zhejiang, China)

关键词:

绿色发展;  绿色转型;  纵横向拉开档次法;  标准差椭圆;  时空地理加权回归模型;  时空分异;  浙江

Keywords:

green development;  green transformation;  vertical and horizontal pull-off grade method;  standard deviation ellipse;  GTWR model;  temporal and spatial differentiation;  Zhejiang

分类号:

X22; F124.5

DOI:

10.19814/j.jese.2024.03006

文献标志码:

A

摘要:

科学量化山区26县绿色转型水平是浙江建设共同富裕示范区的关键。从“绿色生态-绿色生产-绿色生活”三生空间视角构建绿色转型指标体系,采用纵横向拉开档次法、重心-标准差椭圆及时空地理加权回归模型等研究2010～2021年浙江山区26县绿色转型的时空分异特征与驱动因素。结果表明:①2010～2021年山区26县绿色转型整体呈增长趋势,年均增幅为2.428%,但仍有较大提升空间; 绿色转型的变异系数逐年减小,地区差异从“大差距低水平”特征逐渐向“小差距高水平”特征转变。②2010～2021年山区26县绿色转型逐渐呈现“永嘉—缙云—青田”为核心的空间分布格局。绿色转型重心逐渐向北扩张,研究期内山区26县北部县域的绿色转型有较大提升; 山区26县绿色转型空间分布总体呈较为稳定的西北—东南方向分布格局,标准差椭圆分布范围逐渐缩小,空间集聚性不断增强,区域发展不平衡问题有所改善。③各影响因素呈现较强的时空异质性。经济发展、城市化、政府调控和人力资本素质始终是山区26县绿色转型的主要驱动因素,金融发展、科技水平和对外开放程度的驱动力逐渐增强,产业结构的驱动作用尚不稳定,对于山区26县绿色转型的拉动能力有限。

Abstract:

Quantifying green transformation level of 26 mountainous counties is crucial for the construction of a demonstration zone for common prosperity in Zhejiang. Based on the perspective of “green ecology-green production-green life” three-dimensional space, a green transformation indicator system was constructed; the temporal and spatial differentiation characteristics and driving factors of green transformation in 26 mountainous counties of Zhejiang from 2010 to 2021 were studied using vertical and horizontalpull-off grade method,gravity center-standard deviation ellipse, and geographically and temporally weighted regression(GTWR)model. The results show that ① from 2010 to 2021, the overall green transformation of26mountainous counties showes an increasing trend, with an average annual increase of 2.428%, indicating that there is still considerable room for improvement; thevariationcoefficientof green transformation decreases year by year, andthe characteristic ofthe regional differences gradually changes from “large gap and low level” to “small gap and high level”. ②From 2010 to 2021,green transformation of 26 mountainous counties gradually showes a spatial distribution pattern with “Yongjia-Jinyun-Qingtian” as the core; thegravity centerof green transformation gradually expands to the north, and the northernregionof26 mountainous counties have a significant improvement in green transformation during the study period; the spatial distribution of green transformation in26 mountainous counties generally follows a northwest-southeast trend, and the distribution pattern is relatively stable; the distribution range of the standard deviation ellipse gradually narrows, and the spatial agglomeration continues to increase, indicating that the problem of regional development imbalance has improved. ③ Each influencing factor shows strong temporal and spatial heterogeneity. Economic development, urbanization, government regulation and human capital quality have always been the main driving factors forgreen transformation of 26 mountainous counties; the driving forces of financial development, scientific,technological level and openness to the outside world have gradually increased; the drivingeffectof industrial structure is still unstable, and the driving ability forgreen transformation of 26 mountainous counties is limited.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:

收稿日期:2024-03-06; 修回日期:2024-03-24投稿网址:http:∥jese.chd.edu.cn/
基金项目:浙江省哲学社会科学领军人才培育专项课题(23QNYC15ZD); 浙江省软科学研究计划项目(2023C35019); 国家社会科学基金重大项目(22&ZD064)
*通信简介:翁异静(1987-),女,浙江慈溪人,教授,管理学博士,E-mail:wyj646@126.com。

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